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Super Tuesday looks to further muddy GOP primary waters

Remember when it looked like Mitt Romney might have the Republican nomination wrapped up by Super Tuesday, or at least by the time the biggest date on the primary calendar was over? Seems like ancient history at this point, huh?

As ten states from Alaska to Georgia cast ballots, the only thing that appears certain in this wacky way to November is that things are not likely to be much clearer come late Tuesday and early Wednesday.

Here’s what we know: Mitt Romney is ahead in the delegate count. According to ABC News, Romney has 184 delegates so far. Rick Santorum is second with 91. We also know there will be a mixed bag of results on Super Tuesday.

Romney will win Virginia, where Santorum and Gingrich failed to get on the ballot, and likely get all of its 59 delegates. Romney and Santorum are neck and neck in the pivotal battleground of Ohio, but Santorum could lose even by winning. Turns out he failed to do some paperwork that makes him ineligible for a big chunk of the delegates regardless of the popular vote. Gingrich will win Georgia, where he was a Congressman.

Clearly no one is close yet to the 1,144 delegates needed to capture the nomination. Even if he could pull off a Super Tuesday sweep, which he won’t, Romney would only be a little more than half way to wrapping things up. Still, he will most likely set himself up for the nomination with 22 states left to go.

The question is if any of the other candidates can do enough damage to keep Romney from clinching the nomination before the Republican National Convention. It seems unlikely, but a real floor fight in Tampa or a brokered convention would make great theater, the likes of which we haven’t seen in generations.

More: continued here

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