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STORMTRACK 3: Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigates system, not a Tropical Depression yet

WILMINGTON, NC (WWAY) — The Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigated a weak disturbance off the Florida coast this afternoon.  The concentration/organization of thunderstorm activity is not yet sufficient to officially classify the system as a tropical depression. So far, a combination of wind shear and dry air has kept the system very weak. However, proximity to the Gulf Stream waters could allow the system to become a tropical depression or tropical storm by mid-week. 

The system will remain near Florida through mid-week, but an approaching cold front will eventually turn the system toward the northeast- and out to sea. The big question is how close to the North Carolina coast will the system track as it pulls away from the United States. Some models have the system brushing the North Carolina coast late Thursday or Friday. Other models keep most of the active weather offshore. In any case, an approaching cold front may join with the system to increase our chance of showers/thunderstorms on July 4th. The system will exit our area early Saturday, leaving us with typical summertime weather for most of the weekend.

 Chief Meteorologist Jerry Jackson


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